Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 73-89 (45.1%) · ROI: +3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
69.9%
Edge
+16.0%
+15.5% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$86.76
Colorado Rockies away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+15.5%
+14.2% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$64.05
Boston Red Sox away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
70.8%
Edge
+13.0%
+12.4% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$77.11
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+12.0%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$52.12
Miami Marlins away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.1%
Edge
+11.2%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$48.35
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
44.8%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
+189
Book
Stake
$39.10
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$50.54
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+8.8%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$49.48
New York Yankees home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 11:05 PM
Prob
70.4%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
-167
Book
Stake
$52.62
Cincinnati Reds home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:40 PM
Prob
56.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$31.75
Updated 1:31 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice