Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 14

Season: 406-463 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice