Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 28

Season: 625-695 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$43.94
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.8%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$25.10
Texas Rangers away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$17.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Updated 9:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice