Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 17

Season: 267-305 (46.7%) · ROI: -1.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.84
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice