Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 19

Season: 424-494 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+228
Book
Stake
$30.83
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
43.1%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$25.49
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Athletics home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.10
Miami Marlins home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+0.8%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$3.83
Updated 11:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice