⚾ Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Monday, April 6, 2026

Season: 43-51 (45.7%) · ROI: +9.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Consensus = multiple models agree · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing

CIN over MIA away

6:40 PM EDT

Prob 58.8%

Edge +13.3%

Odds +120

Book Pinnacle

Suggested 6.1u ($61.17)

LAA over ATL home

9:38 PM EDT

Prob 48.1%

Edge +9.0%

Odds +156

Book Kalshi

Suggested 3.7u ($37.04)

STL over WSH away

6:45 PM EDT

Prob 58.6%

Edge +7.7%

Odds -104

Book Kalshi

Suggested 3.9u ($39.06)

MIL over BOS away

6:45 PM EDT

Prob 58.6%

Edge +7.6%

Odds -104

Book Kalshi

Suggested 3.9u ($38.61)

COL over HOU home

8:40 PM EDT

Prob 46.4%

Edge +7.3%

Odds +156

Book Kalshi

Suggested 3.0u ($30.06)