Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 7

Season: 376-426 (46.9%) · ROI: -2.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:30 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$13.01
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 1:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice