Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-516 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-159
Book
Stake
$15.80
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-168
Book
Stake
$7.66
Updated 4:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice