Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
64.0%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$54.65
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.7%
Edge
+8.9%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$49.22
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.8%
Edge
+8.5%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$39.68
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
58.5%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$42.50
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
67.3%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$45.44
Updated 8:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice