Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 432-505 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.9%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+188
Book
Stake
$41.81
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Miami Marlins home
vs San Francisco Giants · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.3%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$42.38
Boston Red Sox away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
New York Yankees home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:35 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$37.12
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Updated 5:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice