Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 466-536 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+11.0%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$42.72
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.4%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.68
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$11.00
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Updated 3:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice