Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
-124
Book
Stake
$47.17
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$13.01
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 8:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice