Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 7

Season: 520-597 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 1:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice