Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 19

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$46.89
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
San Diego Padres away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Updated 1:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice