Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-69 (47.3%) · ROI: +9.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
58.1%
Edge
+13.3%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$60.13
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
58.4%
Edge
+9.6%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$46.85
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.2%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$32.49
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+7.5%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$34.49
Updated 2:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice