Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 21

Season: 584-659 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.7%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$13.81
Updated 5:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice