Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 20

Season: 430-504 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
+192
Book
Stake
$38.76
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$35.14
New York Yankees home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:35 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$35.17
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Stake
$18.40
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 1:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice