Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 432-505 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Boston Red Sox away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$26.77
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Updated 5:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice