Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 19

Season: 90-113 (44.3%) · ROI: +0.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:40 PM
Prob
77.1%
Edge
+23.0%
+22.3% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$125.36
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
72.8%
Edge
+20.4%
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$107.36
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
49.9%
Edge
+17.7%
+16.1% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$65.18
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
59.2%
Edge
+14.7%
+13.7% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$66.31
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+12.2%
+10.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$53.79
Athletics home
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:05 PM
Prob
71.2%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$69.81
Atlanta Braves away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
59.5%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$52.17
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$43.60
New York Mets away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$37.29
Updated 4:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice