Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 484-560 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$38.10
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Chicago Cubs home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.44
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 10:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice