Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-475 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.5%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$23.98
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$23.45
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 7:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice