Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 7

Season: 376-426 (46.9%) · ROI: -2.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
San Francisco Giants away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:30 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Chicago White Sox away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+188
Book
Stake
$16.61
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Atlanta Braves · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
New York Mets away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.1%
+0.4% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$5.99
Updated 4:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice