Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 539-614 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+185
Book
Stake
$40.64
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Texas Rangers home
vs Houston Astros · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$43.14
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Athletics away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$17.31
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 9:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice