Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Apr 12

Season: 65-77 (45.8%) · ROI: +4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
60.7%
Edge
+22.3%
+20.3% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$90.51
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.6%
Edge
+22.1%
+21.5% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$89.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 8:10 PM
Prob
66.0%
Edge
+20.2%
+18.3% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$93.10
Athletics away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
56.5%
Edge
+15.7%
+14.7% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$66.17
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
71.7%
Edge
+13.9%
+13.0% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$82.38
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:20 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+12.3%
+11.5% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$49.28
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 6:15 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+12.1%
+10.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$59.30
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$29.81
Updated 7:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice