Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 551-623 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Texas Rangers · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
San Diego Padres home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 12:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
San Francisco Giants home
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+1.9%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-144
Book
Stake
$11.73
Updated 1:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice