Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 9

Season: 56-61 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Miami Marlins · 4:10 PM
Prob
65.2%
Edge
+17.6%
+17.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$87.49
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+15.6%
Odds
+170
Book
Caesars
Stake
$63.58
Athletics away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
51.0%
Edge
+15.4%
+14.1% consensus
Odds
+186
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$61.52
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.4%
Edge
+12.8%
+11.5% consensus
Odds
+144
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$52.68
Updated 3:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice