Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 27

Season: 323-363 (47.1%) · ROI: -1.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$50.16
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Kansas City Royals home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Stake
$13.28
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$12.25
San Diego Padres home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Detroit Tigers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 8:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice