Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, May 14

Season: 252-290 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Detroit Tigers away
vs New York Mets · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.5% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$48.65
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Washington Nationals away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 4:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Chicago White Sox home
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.2%
+0.4% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$5.71
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Colorado Rockies · 4:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-170
Book
Stake
$5.52
Updated 4:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice