Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 546-618 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.99
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.4% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.9%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$19.52
Kansas City Royals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice