Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 453-527 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$7.53
Updated 1:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice