Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 21

Season: 584-659 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.1%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$21.13
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Updated 4:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice