Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 631-699 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Washington Nationals home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Updated 5:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice