Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 477-552 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.60
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.62
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$15.64
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$5.83
Updated 12:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice