Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 3

Season: 502-577 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Updated 9:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice