Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 20

Season: 426-503 (45.9%) · ROI: -4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.0%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Stake
$32.23
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 8:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$29.93
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
40.2%
Edge
+4.7%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$18.06
Updated 7:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice