Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 513-587 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 4:30 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$49.88
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Chicago White Sox away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 6:00 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:30 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Updated 4:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice