Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 508-582 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.2%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
-136
Book
Stake
$36.60
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-159
Book
Stake
$15.80
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 4:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice