Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 5

Season: 364-420 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+9.6%
Odds
+275
Book
Stake
$32.57
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$43.94
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.2%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.26
Seattle Mariners away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
San Diego Padres home
vs New York Mets · 2:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Houston Astros home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$16.00
Washington Nationals away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Atlanta Braves home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+1.7%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$9.25
Updated 3:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice