Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 256-295 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:38 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$12.58
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Boston Red Sox away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice