Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 210-231 (47.6%) · ROI: -1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.4%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+184
Book
Stake
$40.24
Houston Astros home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$39.73
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$36.44
San Diego Padres away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago White Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Updated 2:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice