Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 202-218 (48.1%) · ROI: +0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 4:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Updated 11:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice