Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 27

Season: 621-691 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.99
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 9:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice