Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-69 (47.3%) · ROI: +9.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:15 PM
Prob
60.1%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.3% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$55.05
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.2%
Edge
+10.4%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$47.17
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs New York Yankees · 10:10 PM
Prob
46.3%
Edge
+8.6%
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$34.35
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$38.32
Updated 5:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice