Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 63-73 (46.3%) · ROI: +6.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
74.8%
Edge
+36.3%
+35.6% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$147.50
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
65.9%
Edge
+16.2%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$80.39
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
49.0%
Edge
+12.7%
+12.1% consensus
Odds
+176
Book
Stake
$49.98
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
43.8%
Edge
+10.0%
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$37.70
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+9.2%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$39.61
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
48.4%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$30.71
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 5:40 PM
Prob
58.7%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$31.06
Updated 1:21 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice