Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 28

Season: 626-696 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$54.68
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Kansas City Royals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$25.10
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Boston Red Sox away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Washington Nationals home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
San Francisco Giants home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:45 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Athletics home
vs Boston Red Sox · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.1%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$18.05
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$15.80
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
San Diego Padres home
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-136
Book
Stake
$19.55
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 1:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice