Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 26

Season: 614-683 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.32
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$38.35
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.9%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$14.95
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 1:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice