Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 199-215 (48.1%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$25.85
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Updated 4:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice