Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 13

Season: 245-285 (46.2%) · ROI: -2.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.4%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$45.47
San Diego Padres away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Miami Marlins away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.64
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$23.33
Chicago White Sox home
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.1%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.44
Baltimore Orioles home
vs New York Yankees · 5:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Texas Rangers home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Detroit Tigers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Colorado Rockies · 10:40 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+2.0%
Odds
-183
Book
Stake
$14.19
Updated 6:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice