Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
66.1%
Edge
+17.8%
+16.5% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$86.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+16.0%
+15.5% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$65.03
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
66.2%
Edge
+15.7%
+14.8% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$79.36
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
50.5%
Edge
+14.2%
+13.5% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$55.65
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
62.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$39.99
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
61.9%
Edge
+7.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$39.28
Washington Nationals away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
44.9%
Edge
+6.2%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$25.23
Updated 7:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice