Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
59.9%
Edge
+15.4%
+14.9% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$69.50
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
52.8%
Edge
+13.1%
+12.6% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$54.41
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+11.7%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$48.57
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
70.0%
Edge
+11.6%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$69.82
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$41.55
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
40.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$28.35
Updated 6:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice